Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003199 0.003513 0.003848 0.004233 0.004663 0.005130 0.005676
2026-01-25 0.002635 0.003069 0.003565 0.004176 0.004912 0.005774 0.006868
2026-02-01 0.002337 0.002832 0.003424 0.004190 0.005163 0.006367 0.007987
2026-02-08 0.002093 0.002616 0.003265 0.004137 0.005293 0.006789 0.008903
2026-02-15 0.001888 0.002421 0.003102 0.004050 0.005351 0.007101 0.009682
2026-02-22 0.001760 0.002310 0.003033 0.004069 0.005540 0.007592 0.010742
2026-03-01 0.001683 0.002258 0.003033 0.004176 0.005852 0.008272 0.012137
2026-03-08 0.001559 0.002131 0.002918 0.004107 0.005898 0.008563 0.012966
2026-03-15 0.001449 0.002013 0.002805 0.004029 0.005918 0.008808 0.013739
2026-03-22 0.001366 0.001928 0.002733 0.004003 0.006011 0.009170 0.014730
2026-03-29 0.001311 0.001879 0.002708 0.004044 0.006210 0.009710 0.016073
2026-04-05 0.001235 0.001794 0.002624 0.003986 0.006241 0.009974 0.016959
2026-04-12 0.001166 0.001719 0.002553 0.003948 0.006313 0.010332 0.018089
2026-04-19 0.001099 0.001642 0.002475 0.003896 0.006357 0.010648 0.019188
2026-04-26 0.001053 0.001594 0.002440 0.003909 0.006514 0.011176 0.020754
2026-05-03 0.000997 0.001528 0.002371 0.003860 0.006554 0.011492 0.021936
2026-05-10 0.000940 0.001457 0.002288 0.003779 0.006529 0.011681 0.022875
2026-05-17 0.000906 0.001421 0.002262 0.003798 0.006687 0.012233 0.024653
2026-05-24 0.000889 0.001413 0.002281 0.003896 0.007004 0.013129 0.027308
2026-05-31 0.000846 0.001357 0.002214 0.003832 0.007000 0.013374 0.028518
2026-06-07 0.000803 0.001301 0.002145 0.003760 0.006974 0.013567 0.029628
2026-06-14 0.000772 0.001262 0.002103 0.003736 0.007042 0.013967 0.031291
2026-06-21 0.000752 0.001242 0.002094 0.003774 0.007239 0.014666 0.033799